Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000194 0.000214 0.000236 0.000261 0.000290 0.000320 0.000357
2025-10-12 0.000157 0.000187 0.000221 0.000265 0.000319 0.000383 0.000466
2025-10-19 0.000132 0.000165 0.000207 0.000263 0.000336 0.000430 0.000561
2025-10-26 0.000116 0.000152 0.000199 0.000265 0.000357 0.000481 0.000665
2025-11-02 0.000103 0.000139 0.000189 0.000262 0.000368 0.000519 0.000755
2025-11-09 0.000093 0.000130 0.000182 0.000261 0.000381 0.000561 0.000856
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000121 0.000173 0.000257 0.000388 0.000592 0.000944
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000111 0.000164 0.000250 0.000390 0.000615 0.001021
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000107 0.000162 0.000254 0.000409 0.000668 0.001154
2025-12-07 0.000068 0.000104 0.000161 0.000259 0.000430 0.000726 0.001305
2025-12-14 0.000062 0.000098 0.000154 0.000254 0.000432 0.000751 0.001398
2025-12-21 0.000057 0.000090 0.000145 0.000244 0.000425 0.000759 0.001460
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000088 0.000144 0.000249 0.000446 0.000823 0.001647
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000085 0.000143 0.000253 0.000467 0.000891 0.001857
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000081 0.000139 0.000251 0.000476 0.000935 0.002023
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000079 0.000137 0.000253 0.000493 0.000999 0.002248
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000075 0.000132 0.000250 0.000499 0.001039 0.002423
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000072 0.000129 0.000249 0.000510 0.001092 0.002641
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000068 0.000125 0.000245 0.000513 0.001128 0.002818
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000064 0.000120 0.000239 0.000509 0.001148 0.002959
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000063 0.000119 0.000243 0.000530 0.001228 0.003287
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000062 0.000119 0.000247 0.000554 0.001320 0.003669
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000059 0.000115 0.000242 0.000553 0.001349 0.003866